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Unlike generic AI tools, we combine institutional quality analysis with human expert review
AI + Human Review
Every portfolio report is reviewed by our experienced team, not just raw AI output.
Institutional Methodology
Same frameworks used at top investment banks: risk metrics, scenario analysis, and structured recommendations.
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Market Intelligence
Latest Market News
January CPI at 2.4% YoY, Core 2.5% (Lowest Since April 2021)
Consumer prices rose 2.4% YoY in January, down from December's 2.7%. Core CPI matched expectations at 2.5%. Energy fell 1.5% MoM; shelter and food rose modestly. Traders raised June rate cut odds to ~83%.
Q4 GDP Slows to 1.4% vs 2.5% Expected; Shutdown Impact
U.S. GDP growth slowed more than expected in Q4. A record government shutdown prompted steep drops in federal spending. Despite the miss, markets stayed calm; rate cut expectations largely unchanged.
Supreme Court Strikes Down Tariffs; Trump Signs New 10% Global Tariff
SCOTUS ruled 6-3 that Trump overstepped authority on emergency tariffs. Over $175B in refunds may be at stake. Trump responded with a new 10% global tariff; Canada and Mexico exempt. SPY rallied to ~$689.
Market Drivers
January CPI at 2.4% YoY and core at 2.5% (lowest since April 2021) support the disinflation narrative. June rate cut odds rose to ~83%. March FOMC likely to hold (94%+); summer cuts in focus.
Fed funds at 3.5%-3.75%; March hold priced at 94%+. J.P. Morgan expects one cut in 2026, likely summer. Powell remains data-dependent; cooler inflation supports eventual easing.
Tariff pivot creates uncertainty: SCOTUS struck down emergency tariffs; Trump signed new 10% global tariff (Canada, Mexico exempt). Over $175B in refunds at stake. Markets rallied; SPY ~$689.
Market Outlook
๐ Short Term (3-6 months)
Constructive - GDP miss and tariff pivot created volatility but markets stayed resilient. SPY near $689. March FOMC likely to hold; June cut odds ~83%. Tariff refund implications in focus.
๐ฏ Medium Term (6-12 months)
Balanced - Inflation cooling toward 2%; Fed on hold into summer. New 10% global tariff adds trade-policy uncertainty. Growth slowdown from Q4 GDP may prove transitory.
๐ฎ Long Term (12+ months)
Constructive with volatility - Disinflation supports risk assets. Tariff and fiscal policy shifts can drive sharp moves. Over $175B in potential tariff refunds adds fiscal uncertainty.
โ ๏ธ Key Risks
Tariff escalation or prolonged trade uncertainty; inflation re-acceleration delaying rate cuts; fiscal impact from potential tariff refunds.
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