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The table below shows current levels and performance metrics for major asset classes and indices. Performance is calculated as percentage change from 1 month, 6 months, and 1 year ago. Percentile ranking shows where current price level stands relative to historical price levels.Instruments are ranked by 1-month returns from highest to lowest.
| Instrument | 1M Perf | 6M Perf | 1Y Perf | 1Y %ile | 5Y %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq 100 | +6.2% | +31.4% | +27.8% | 100 | 100 |
| Gold (USD/oz) | +5.1% | +22.5% | +43.8% | 93 | 98 |
| CSI 300 (China) | +4.6% | +31.2% | +20.1% | 100 | 99 |
| Nikkei 225 (Japan) | +4.3% | +17.9% | +24.0% | 100 | 100 |
| S&P 500 | +3.8% | +23.0% | +18.3% | 100 | 100 |
| Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong) | +3.6% | +25.2% | +20.4% | 98 | 96 |
| US 10Y Treasury Yield | +3.5% | +3.8% | +0.1% | 90 | 38 |
| STOXX Europe 50 | +3.2% | +12.8% | +23.8% | 99 | 100 |
| iShares IG Corp Bond (LQD) | +1.5% | +5.4% | +3.4% | 100 | 96 |
| Bitcoin (BTC-USD) | -1.4% | +16.4% | +55.1% | 79 | 96 |
Market Drivers: AI revolution, corporate earnings resilience, and accommodative monetary policy expectations driving risk-on sentiment.
Recent Performance: Technology stocks leading with strong gains, Japanese markets surging on corporate reforms and weak yen benefits.
Mid-term Outlook: Cautiously optimistic. Valuations elevated but earnings growth supportive. Watch for Fed policy shifts and geopolitical tensions.
Market Drivers: Fed policy uncertainty, inflation expectations, and flight-to-quality flows during market stress periods.
Recent Performance: Corporate bonds outperforming government bonds, yield curve steepening on growth optimism.
Mid-term Outlook: Neutral to bearish. Rising rates environment likely to continue, favoring shorter duration and credit over duration.
Market Drivers: Fed hawkish stance, US economic resilience, and safe-haven flows during global uncertainty.
Recent Performance: DXY maintaining strength, JPY weakness continuing, EUR/USD stable.
Mid-term Outlook: Bullish bias maintained. Fed policy divergence and US growth outperformance supporting continued USD strength.
Market Drivers: Geopolitical tensions, central bank diversification, inflation hedge demand, and safe-haven flows.
Recent Performance: Gold showing mixed performance with geopolitical uncertainty, maintaining safe-haven appeal.
Mid-term Outlook: Bullish. Structural demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainty supporting continued strength.
Market Drivers: Geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ supply management, global demand recovery, and energy transition pressures.
Recent Performance: Oil prices stabilizing after recent volatility, natural gas showing seasonal weakness.
Mid-term Outlook: Neutral to bullish. Supply constraints and geopolitical risks supporting prices, but demand uncertainty remains.
Market Drivers: Institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, ETF approvals, and digital asset integration into traditional finance.
Recent Performance: Bitcoin showing strong momentum with increasing correlation to traditional markets.
Mid-term Outlook: Bullish. Continued institutional adoption and regulatory acceptance supporting long-term growth trajectory.
Market Drivers: Fed policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, earnings season volatility, and macro data surprises.
Recent Performance: VIX at moderate levels, MOVE showing elevated bond volatility, currency volatility indicating FX stress.
Mid-term Outlook: Elevated volatility likely to persist. Bond volatility particularly sensitive to Fed policy shifts and inflation data.
Understanding relationships between major asset classes and indices
The table below shows the correlation coefficients between major asset classes and indices based on recent price movements. Values close to 1 indicate strong positive correlation, values close to -1 indicate strong negative correlation, and values near 0 indicate little or no correlation. Data is calculated using 2 years of daily price data for robust statistical analysis.
| S&P 500 | Nasdaq 100 | Gold (USD/oz) | US 10Y Treasury Yield | Bitcoin (BTC-USD) | Nikkei 225 (Japan) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.90 | -0.58 | 0.11 | 0.74 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.89 | -0.54 | 0.06 | 0.79 |
| Gold (USD/oz) | 0.90 | 0.89 | 1.00 | -0.57 | 0.19 | 0.68 |
| US 10Y Treasury Yield | -0.58 | -0.54 | -0.57 | 1.00 | 0.24 | -0.03 |
| Bitcoin (BTC-USD) | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.15 |
| Nikkei 225 (Japan) | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.68 | -0.03 | 0.15 | 1.00 |
Risk-adjusted performance metrics for major asset classes
The Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better return per unit of risk. Max Drawdown shows the largest peak-to-trough decline, and VaR (Value at Risk) represents the potential loss at 95% confidence level. All metrics are calculated using 2 years of daily data for robust statistical analysis. Volatility is annualized from daily returns, Sharpe ratio uses a 2% risk-free rate, and VaR is calculated at 95% confidence level. Instruments are ranked by Sharpe ratio from highest to lowest.
| Instrument | 2Y Return (%) | 2Y Volatility (%) | 2Y Sharpe Ratio | 2Y Max Drawdown (%) | 2Y 95% VaR (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold (USD/oz) | +35.8% | 17.2% | 1.97 | -9.6% | -1.6% |
| S&P 500 | +26.3% | 16.3% | 1.49 | -19.0% | -1.4% |
| Nasdaq 100 | +31.8% | 20.7% | 1.44 | -22.9% | -2.0% |
| STOXX Europe 50 | +23.6% | 17.7% | 1.22 | -16.1% | -1.7% |
| Nikkei 225 (Japan) | +20.2% | 18.9% | 0.96 | -16.0% | -1.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTC-USD) | +33.4% | 37.8% | 0.83 | -28.2% | -3.6% |
| CSI 300 (China) | +19.7% | 26.7% | 0.66 | -33.9% | -1.9% |
| iShares IG Corp Bond (LQD) | +6.8% | 7.4% | 0.65 | -7.6% | -0.7% |
| Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong) | +15.9% | 22.2% | 0.63 | -25.3% | -2.0% |
| US 10Y Treasury Yield | +5.9% | 14.1% | 0.28 | -17.1% | -1.5% |
Stay informed of key upcoming economic events and data releases
Stay informed of key upcoming economic events and data releases that may impact global markets.
| Date | Time (UTC+8) | Event/ Data Release | Country | Previous | Consensus | Impact |
|---|
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